Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs. Felipe Franco
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
Felipe Franco
5-0
Record
10-2
4.5
Strikes/min
2.23
78%
Str. Acc.
71%
22%
Str. Def.
35%
0
TD/15min
6.08
Model analysis
- At a 3-round pace he'd clear 15.5 significant strikes in 1 of his last 1, averaging ~21 over 3 rounds. On only 1 fight of history we lean his projection toward the division average, so the number below sits under that raw pace.
- Light Heavyweight 3-round fights see ~30 significant strikes on average.
- About 57% of light heavyweight 3-round fights end early — a finish is the main way this over misses.
- Our read: ~62% to go over 15.5 (projected ~29).
- No recent significant strikes history on file.
- Felipe Franco allows about 9.9 significant strikes per round (1 fights on record, thin sample — weighted toward the division average).
Model pick
Felipe Franco — Significant Strikes Over 15.5
Our read: ~62% to hit the over