Dricus Du Plessis vs. Kamaru Usman
Dricus Du Plessis
Kamaru Usman
23-3
Record
21-4
5.18
Strikes/min
4.16
48%
Str. Acc.
51%
52%
Str. Def.
55%
2.22
TD/15min
2.79
Model analysis
- At a 5-round pace he'd clear 54.5 significant strikes in 8 of his last 10, averaging ~99 over 5 rounds.
- Dricus Du Plessis allows about 18.4 significant strikes per round (10 fights on record).
- Middleweight 5-round fights see ~87 significant strikes on average.
- Our read: ~77% to go over 54.5 (projected ~91).
- At a 5-round pace he'd clear 69.5 significant strikes in 8 of his last 10, averaging ~127 over 5 rounds.
- Kamaru Usman allows about 16.7 significant strikes per round (10 fights on record).
Model pick
Kamaru Usman — Significant Strikes Over 54.5
Our read: ~77% to hit the over